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We have an intriguing fight in the Welterweight division, as Gunnar “Gunni” Nelson takes on Takashi “Ten” Sato. Returning to the octagon for the first time since September of 2019, the once promising prospect Nelson will look to snap a two-fight skid. Having debuted in the UFC in 2012, Nelson hasn’t accomplished what many thought was possibly. However at only 33 years old, there is still time. Meanwhile, Sato steps into this fight on short notice. Having been absent from the octagon since November of 2020, Sato will look to erase his most recent defeat to Miguel Baeza and get back in the win column.

As for a prediction, I have Nelson winning. Despite falling off the face of the earth, Nelson brings forth a unique style that is highlighted by his impeccable grappling. While Sato is the better of the two on the feet, Nelson hasn’t been one to stand and strike with the majority of his opponents. In fact, and despite the layoff, Nelson is tied with Chris Lytle and Demian Maia for the most submissions in the Welterweight division at six. Completing 1.75 takedowns per minute at a 55% clip, I expect at some point, Nelson to get this fight to the mat and do what he does best. Submit people. So with that said, I predict Nelson will win this fight via submission.

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