UFC Fight Night 205: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Draftkings Spreadsheet


Best Plays

9k Range:

Manon Fiorot ($9,400) – Undefeated in the UFC and one of the bigger favorites on the card, Fiorot is tagged as the highest salaried fighter on the card. Averaging 102.6 points per fight, Fiorot can be counted on to score. However, there is some caution to this hefty price. Opponent Jennifer Maia is a former title challenger and has not been stopped in over 10 years.

Aliaskhab Khizriev ($9,300) – A perfect 13-0, Khizriev comes into his UFC debut with high expectations. A mauling fighter with a 69% finishing rate, Khizriev is a good play at $9,300. Especially when you factor in that his opponent, Denis Tiuliulin, not only is coming into this fight on short notice, but is a mere 9-5. And of those five losses, Tiuliulin has been finished three times.

Curtis Blaydes ($9,200) – Perhaps the best, safest and salary-saver pick in the 9k range is Curtis Blaydes. A wrestler, with the intention to take the fight to mat early and often, Blaydes has constantly delivered. In fact, in the last ten fights, Blaydes has averaged 114.87 points per victory. He even scored a high of 172.8 in a five round fight against Alexander Volkov.

8k Range:

Karol Rosa ($8,900) – This might carry a high price tag, but Rosa has more often than not lived up to it. Undefeated in the UFC at 4-0, Rosa has averaged 104.8 fantasy points. Scoring more than 108.6 points in three of the four fights, Rosa is a good play at this range. Especially when you consider she is fighting Sara McMann. A 41 year old who has been as inconsistent as it gets.

Viacheslav Borshchev ($8,700) – There may be some trepidation about Borshachev given he’s fought only once in the UFC and seven times as a professional. However, if there is one thing certain, he’s not one to go the distance. With an 83% finishing rate and all five stoppages coming no later than round two, Borshachev is someone you can count on to eclipse 100 points.

Danaa Batgerel ($8,600) – Other than Blaydes, Batgerel may be the best play on the card. A winner of eight of his last nine, three of which have come inside the octagon, Batgerel is a finisher to the core. Even more impressive, Bategerel has won all three of his UFC fights in the opening round. While he has a tough draw in Chris Gutierrez, a fighter who has never been stopped via strikes, Batgerel possesses immense power. Just ask Brandon Davis.

Matt Brown ($8,200) – This is a risky play, as Matt Brown is a kill or be killed fighter. However, when he wins, he scores. Averaging 103.75 points in wins over the last 10 fights, with his lowest point total in a win being 91.4, Brown could be a lineup winner.

7k and Below Range:

Chris Daukaus ($7,000) – There is a realistic possibility that Daukaus gets dominated via the relentless wrestling of Blaydes. There is also a chance that he can knock out Blaydes. At 7k, averaging 119.8 points in his four UFC wins, Daukuas is certainly worth a shot.


Value Plays

Bryan Barberena ($8,000) – While Barberena has been a mixed bag of late, he could be an excellent play against another mixed bag in Matt Brown. Averaging 96.9 points in victory and 46.22 in defeat, Barberena has a rare ability to put up points win or lose.

Aleksei Oleinik ($7,600) – Not my favorite play, but always a threat given his submission abilities, Oleinik could be worth a stab here. Averaging 96.82 points in victory, with his lowest point total in a victory being 90.6, Oleinik has a reasonable ceiling at this price. The one problem here, which is why I’m cautious, Oleinik is 44 years old and has been stopped in five of his last six losses.

Max Griffin ($7,400) – This one snuck up on me, but Griffin is an intriguing option. Not one to score a whole lot in victories, averaging 86.94 points, Griffin has actually averaged 51.18 in defeat. A number that not only leads the field, but is attributed to perhaps being ousted in multiple decisions that could of gone his way. With that in mind, Griffin may be one of the safest options to side with.

Joanne Wood ($7,200) – Submission artist have been Wood’s downfall in the UFC. Seeing that Alexa Grasso is a striker with zero submissions on her record, Wood may very well be a strong play here. Averaging 97.27 in victory, with her lowest point total in victory being 89.5, Wood has a favorable ceiling at this price tag. Even in defeat, Wood has averaged 32.71 points. Fourth most among the field.

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