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We have a clash in the Heavyweight division, as Jairzinho “Bigi Boy” Rozenstruik takes on Marcin “Tybur” Tybura. Ever since storming into the UFC with four-straight knockout victories, Rozenstruik has only won two of his last five fights. Most recently being defeated by Curtis Blaydes, Rozenstruik will have to once again build himself up to get another crack at a top five foe. Meanwhile, Tybura is coming off a close defeat to Alexander Volkov. A loss that halted a five-fight win streak dating back to February of 2020. With the streak snapped, Tybura has an opportunity to climb back in a position to fight a top ranked opponent next.

As for a prediction, I have Tybura winning. While Rozenstruik’s power is always a concern, he’s way too hesitant of a striker to trust. Averaging a mere 2.8 significant strikes per minute, Rozenstruik isn’t one for the long game. In fact, in nine UFC fights, Rozenstruik has only eclipsed 43 strikes once. Obviously most of his fights have ended inside the distance, but 2.8 significant strikes per minute pretty much tell the story. A reason though I lean Tybura is that he isn’t just a striker. He’s got some good wrestling, excellent top control and dangerous ground-and-pound. Having landed eight takedowns during his five-fight win streak, I have little doubt he won’t implement a wrestling attack on Rozenstruik. Especially when you consider Rozenstruik’s power and the fact that he’s been taken down fives times in the past three fights. So with that said, I predict that Tybura wins via decision.

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