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We have an pivotal fight in the Lightweight division, as Jared “Flash” Gordon takes on Grant “KGD” Dawson. Heading into this fight on a three-fight win streak, Gordon has certainly put behind a stretch that saw him get knocked out in three of four fights. Having had struggles making weight at Featherweight, Gordon has permanently moved up Lightweight. A choice in which should aide his durability. Meanwhile, Dawson will be making his first appearance in 2022. Having drew in his most recent fight against Ricky Glenn, Dawson still maintained eight-fight win streak – five of which have come in the UFC.

As for a prediction, I have Dawson winning. While there is a stark contrast in cardio, being that Gordon can go a hard fifteen minutes and Dawson seemingly fades after two rounds, there is also a wrestling and size edge that will help “KGD” get it done. Seeing that Gordon had issues fending off Joe Solecki to the tune of four takedowns and six minutes of control time, I don’t see Dawson struggling to get this fight to where he wants it – the mat. As a spam takedown artist, Dawson has landed seventeen takedowns in only five fights. The only concern is cardio. However, despite Gordon having that cardio edge and good grappling, his takedown defense of 50% leaves him vulnerable to Dawson taking him down and controlling him. So with that said, I predict that Dawson wins via decision.

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