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We have a rematch in the Women’s Strawweight division, as Felice “The Lil Bulldog” Herrig takes on Karolina Kowalkiewicz. After nearly two years away from the octagon, Herrig returns looking to erase a three-fight losing streak. Having not won a fight since 2017, and at 37 years old, Herrig’s UFC tenure may hang in the balance. Meanwhile, Kowalkiewicz comes into this fight on a horrid five-fight skid. Looking less like the once title challenger, Kowalkiewicz will have to dig deep to find her competitive spirit.

This fight is essentially a crapshoot. Herrig, began her UFC career with an excellent 5-1 record. At one point, she had rattled off four straight wins. Then she faced Kowalkiewicz, who defeated her via split decision. Herrig would go on to lose two more fights in a near four year span, bringing the losing streak to three. As for the aforementioned Kowalkiewicz, the last time she won a fight, was against Herrig. Which was a little over four years ago. Since that fight, Kowalkiewicz has lost five straight.

As for a prediction, I have Herrig winning. While her inactivity is certainly a red flag, there is something to be said about Kowalkiewicz being a shell of herself. In fact, during this five-fight losing streak, Kowalkiewicz has not won a single round. No longer a feared striker, Kowalkiewicz at this point, may only threaten with submissions from guard. Given Herrig has only been submitted once in twenty-three fights, with her last bout being the one, I’m pretty certain her submission defense will hold up. A kickboxer, with good wrestling, Herrig’s ability to mix up her attack should fair well in this fight. With that said, I predict Herrig exacts revenge, winning via decision.

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