UFC Vegas 56: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik DraftKings Spreadsheet

Best Plays

9k Range

Erin Blanchfield ($9,600) – The highest priced fighter on the slate, Blanchfield is well worth the salary. While young and inexperienced, Blanchfield is a talent that has championship qualities resonating from her. With wrestling and an elite ground game, Blanchfield has been a nightmare to face. Averaging 120.5 points in two fights, with a high of 126.1 points, Blanchfield is likely to be in the optimal lineup.

Rinat Fakhretsdinov ($9,200) – There is some risk in this pick, especially considering Fakhretsdinov is making his debut. However, a known finisher, Fakhretsdinov has the potential to put up big-time points. Obviously opponent plays a role into this pick, as Andreas Michailidis is a striker who hasn’t look all that great inside the octagon. Throw in the fact that his cardio has always been problematic, and I believe Fakhretsdinov has a great chance at ending this fight before round three.

Jeff Molina ($9,000) – At 9k, I don’t think you can go wrong with siding with Molina. An active striker, will endless cardio, Molina is someone you can certainly count on to eclipse 100 points. With an average of 123.9 points in two fights and a high of 131.1 points, I could envision Molina being the highest owned fighter on the slate – with good reason too.

8k Range

Joe Solecki ($8,800) – I understand if Solecki is a pass at this price. I too agree that he may be a tad too high for my liking. However, if there is one thing certain about Solecki, he is a ground specialist with submission abilities. Eclipsing 100 points in two of his three victories, Solecki barely waste time in grappling with his opponents.

Alexander Volkov ($8,600) – One half of the main event, Volkov is an interesting play. Known for his striking output, Volkov will have an opportunity at racking up strikes over twenty-five minutes. While the UFC poster adds that the two combine for thirty-three knockouts, which is a feasible result, I would venture to say that these are two of the more durable Heavyweights. So in my opinion, I see twenty-five minutes of action and realistic opportunity for Volkov to eclipse 100 points.

Tony Gravely ($8,400) – Statistically one the best plays on the card, Gravely ranks number one in both average points in victory (125.37) and most points scored in victory (138.2). Gravely is even third on the card in career points at 91.6 and lowest points in victory at 109.9. Throw in the 40.85 points scored in defeat, and the wrestler is an excellent play at 8.4k.

Karine Silva ($8,200) – This is a risky play, but given her finishing rate being 100%, there is a potential chance that Silva could be a solid play. It all depends if you think that Silva can get the fight to the mat, even by pulling guard. If so, the chances for a submission finish are high.

7k and Under Range

Johnny Munoz ($7,800) – While opponent Tony Gravely statistically is a great play, I could see Munoz being picked as an upset. A ground specialist, with seven of his eleven victories coming via submission, Munoz could very well pull this one out. After all, of Gravely’s seven losses, five have come via submission.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik ($7,600) – The other half of the main event, Rozenstruick at this price, is worth a shot. A powerful, yet hesitant striker, Rozenstruik can either turn your lights out or essentially stare at you. Averaging 106.93 in victory, which is the 4th highest on the slate, Rozenstruik is arguably the best 7k and below play.

Askar Mozharov ($7,500) – One of my favorite plays on the card, Mozharov carries immense risk and reward. One to avoid the scorecards, Mozharov has seen thirty of his thirty-two fights end inside the distance. Being on the end of eleven of those stoppages, Mozharov’s durability is poor. However, Mozharov has won nineteen of his twenty-two victories via stoppage. All in round one. Given a first round stoppage is worth at least 90 points, I’m feeling the risk of playing Mozharov is well worth it.

After putting out this DraftKings play, Sherdog has released an article regarding Askar Mozharov record isn’t what it seems. Literally, losses are being notched on by the day. Due to this, while I’m not one to change predictions after writing them, I’d throw caution tape on this! And I said Favorite Play (Insert Face Palm)…

Dan Ige ($6,800) – If there is anything certain about Ige, is that he will fight for your money. Always competitive, Ige isn’t one to ever be counted out of a fight. As the second least expensive fighter on the slate, Ige is worth a stab. Especially if you consider that he is 9th on the card in average points in victory at 96.5 and third in most points scored in victory at 131.8.

.

Fades

Movsar Evloev ($9,400) – It’s hard to fade an undefeated fighter, who is 5-0 in the UFC. However, averaging 98.1 points, Evloev isn’t a must play. While he does have a high of 138.1 points, it’s only one of two times Evloev has eclipsed 100 points. Against Ige, which is his stiffest test, I wouldn’t expect the Russian’s points total to match his high salary.

Michael Trizano ($9,100) – For someone who is averaging 63.47 in victory and who’s highest point total is 65.8, I find it a little surprising that Trizano is priced this high. Regardless of opponent.

Alonzo Menifield ($8,700) – A known finisher, who took the UFC by storm in his first two fights, Menifield has since stumbled. Going 2-3, with only one stoppage victory in the last five fights, it’s hard not to fade Menifield at this price tag.

Felice Herrig ($8,300) – This fight in itself is fade. Neither women is averaging over 90 points in victory, nor has won in the past four years.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz ($7,900) – See Above