The MMA Daily

Best Plays

9k Range

Sean O’Malley ($9,300) – The second highest priced fighter on the slate, O’Malley is a worthy pick. Averaging 104.63 in victory and with a high of 147.1, O’Malley has proven that he’s got a high ceiling. Against a fellow striker in Pedro Munhoz, who has never been finished, expect O’Malley to rack up the points via strikes over the course of fifteen minutes.

Andre Muniz ($9,200) – Despite an average score in victory of 96.5, Muniz has a favorable matchup in Uriah Hall. A striker, who has lost six of the nine fights he has been taken down. Seeing that Muniz is a submission specialist, and has landed seven takedowns in four fights, chances are likely he can expose Hall’s vulnerability.

Alexander Volkanovski ($9,000) – People may be fading the King of the Featherweight division, as he has only averaged 98.5 points in the two fights against Max Holloway. However, averaging a card’s best in career points at 110.1, as well the 4th highest in most points scored in victory at 135.5, it’s hard to think about fading Volkanovski.

8k Range

Jim Miller ($8,700) – I’m not particularly crazy about Miller at this price, but when he wins, he puts up points. Averaging 103.58 in victory and with a low of 93.5 points, which is the 4th highest on the card, Miller’s floor is pretty solid.

Jalin Turner ($8,400) – One of my favorite plays on the card, Turner is not only tearing through the competition, but statistically one of the best plays on the card. Ranking in the top six in every positive category, including second in both average points in victory (115.92) and lowest points in victory (106.1), Turner is a great play at this price.

Dricus Du Plessis ($8,000) – Coming in as a slight underdog, the South African is a nice play at this price tag. Winning his first two UFC bouts, both by finish, du Plessis is averaging an impressive 109.2 points. Against Brad Tavares, who has been stopped in three of his four losses, and is a notable decision machine, du Plessis will have plenty of opportunities to put a halt to the bout.

7k and Under Range

Sean Strickland ($7,900) – With twenty-eight professional fights and six consecutive wins, it’s hard not to like Strickland at this price. We all realize that Alex Pereira is an impressive striker, but with only six fights, his defensive wrestling may not be as sound as it needs to be. While Strickland might elect to strike with Pereira, he would be smart to use his wrestling. Seeing that he scored a high of 144.1 in a fight, the ceiling is very high for this 7k play.

Bryan Barberena ($7,700) – When Barberena enters the octagon, you know exactly what your going to get – as opposed to Robbie Lawler, who can be a mixed bag. Averaging 97.2 in victory, with a high of 120, Barberena is worthy play at 7.7k.

Donald Cerrone ($7,500) – Not someone I’m looking at playing due to his questionable durability, statistically speaking, Cerrone is play. Averaging 108.13 in victory, which is the 5th highest on the slate, Cerrone against a fellow veteran in Miller may not be terrible at this price.

Max Holloway ($7,200) – A rare price tag for one of the greats, Holloway is an excellent play. Number one in both average points in victory at 133.8 and most points scored at 209.2 (which is ridiculous), Holloway is a salary saver that can lead your card to victory.

Pedro Munhoz ($6,900) – On a tough 1-4 stretch, that has come against Champions and former Champions, Munhoz has an opportunity to knock off a budding superstar in Sean O’Malley. Statistically speaking too, Munhoz ain’t too shabby of a play. Averaging 104.04 in victory, which is the 7th most on the card and with a high of 123.5, there are worse plays than Munhoz. Throw in the fact that he has never been stopped in twenty-seven fights and the chances are higher that he can pull something off in fifteen minutes of action.

Fades

Maycee Barber ($9,100) – While I believe Barber will win this fight, the price tag doesn’t meet the payoff for me. Averaging 88.36 points in victory and against a fighter in Eye, who has only been stopped twice in twenty-five fights, I don’t see the value in paying up for Barber.

Jessica Rose-Clark ($8,600) – Again, I think Clark is going to win this fight. However, if all goes to plan, it will be by outpointing her opponent on the feet for fifteen minutes. A smart play by Clark, not one for DraftKings.

Brad Tavares ($8,200) – The UFC all-time leader in the Middleweight division in decision, at twelve, Tavares is not a fantasy friendly play. As evident by the 64.64 average points in victory. With the exception of Julija Stoliarenko, who hasn’t won a fight, that average is the lowest on the entire slate. Brutal…