Category: Blog

  • UFC Vegas 58: DraftKings Picks

    Best Plays 9k Range David Onama ($9,300) – The highest priced fighter on the slate, Onama is a worthy pick. Well rounded and with a 100% finishing rate, the Ugandan is a sure bet to rack up the points. Fighting a familiar foe, who comes into this on short notice and up a weight class, the ingredients…

  • UFC 276: DraftKings Picks

    Best Plays 9k Range Sean O’Malley ($9,300) – The second highest priced fighter on the slate, O’Malley is a worthy pick. Averaging 104.63 in victory and with a high of 147.1, O’Malley has proven that he’s got a high ceiling. Against a fellow striker in Pedro Munhoz, who has never been finished, expect O’Malley to rack up…

  • UFC Vegas 57: Projecting Finishes

    *Inside the Distance projections are only based on UFC fights* *Numbers are rounded* Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mateusz GamrotTsarukyan via stoppage = 20%Gamrot via stoppage = 30%Fight ends via Stoppage = 50% Neil Magny vs. Shavkat RakhmonovMagny via stoppage = 21%Rakhmonov via stoppage = 28%Fight ends via Stoppage = 48% Josh Parisian vs. Alan BaudotParisian via…

  • UFC Vegas 57: Main Card Analytics

    , Arman Tsarukyan (18-2, 5-1 UFC)– 12 victories via stoppage (7 T/KO, 5 Sub)– Last 2 wins via stoppage– Won 5 Straight & 17 of the last 18– 5-0 when landing 22 or more strikes– One loss in six years – Stopped once via T/KO Mateusz Gamrot (20-1, 3-1 UFC)– 12 victories via stoppage (7…

  • UFC Vegas 57: Preliminary Card Analytics

    Carlos Ulberg (4-1, 1-1 UFC)– 2 victories via stoppage (2 T/KO)– 2 of the last 3 wins came via decision– 19-2 in Kickboxing – Stopped via T/KO in lone defeat– Only five MMA fights Tafon Nchukwi (6-2, 2-2 UFC)– All 4 stoppage victories via T/KO– Last 2 wins came via decision– 2-0 when landing 116…

  • UFC Vegas 57: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot DraftKings Picks

    Best Plays 9k Range Umar Nurmagomedov ($9,500) – The highest priced fighter on the slate, the undefeated Nurmagomedov has yet to face any resistance thus far. Averaging 108.6 points, which is the highest on the slate, Nurmagomedov is a worthy play. The only concern is whether or not Nurmagomedov can topple his high of 111.7 points –…

  • UFC on ESPN 37: Main Card Analytics

    , Calvin Kattar (23-5, 7-3 UFC)– 13 victories via stoppage (11 T/KO, 2 Sub)– Won 2 straight– 2 of the last 3 wins came via decision– 5-2 when landing 52 or more strikes – Only stopped once via Sub– 2-3 in the last five decisions– 1-3 when absorbing 96 or more strikes Josh Emmett (17-2,…

  • UFC on ESPN 37: Preliminary Card Analytics

    , Adrian Yanez (15-3, 4-0 UFC)– 11 victories via stoppage (9 T/KO, 2 Sub)– 4 of the last 5 wins came via stoppage– Won 8 Straight– 3-0 when landing 41 or more strikes – Never been Stopped– 4-3 in decisions Tony Kelley (8-2, 2-1 UFC)– 6 victories via stoppage (3 T/KO, 3 Sub)– 2 of…

  • UFC On ESPN 37: Main Card – Finish Him

    A new segment to the slate, I’ll go through the main card and determine which is likely to be finished or not. As far as the statistics I’m going to be using, it will be strictly from UFC fights. The regional scene encourages can crushing, which would skew the results. Calvin Kattar (23-5, 7-3 UFC)…

  • UFC on ESPN 37: Kattar vs. Emmett DraftKings Picks

    UFC on ESPN 37: Kattar vs. Emmett DraftKings Spreadsheet Best Plays 9k Range Phil Hawes ($9,000) – The lowest priced fighter in the 9k range, Hawes may just be the best. Averaging 106.26 points in victory, Hawes has never scored below 94 points. With knockout power and wrestling, Hawes presents problems for most Middleweight. Facing Deron Winn,…